Bayes Theory

Updating Beliefs

I posted about Bayes’ Theorem previously, but stumbled across the concept again from another direction. One line that struck me was the need for new evidence to update prior beliefs. It reminded me that one of the key attributes of remarkable team members is their ability to remain curious—to ask, ‘What else might this be/mean?’ before jumping into action.

How might we embrace new evidence as an opportunity, instead of feeling we have to make it reinforce decisions already made?